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DOW JONES Analysis – Week of March 28th to April 1st’ 2016 -- 100% accuracy

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March 28, 2016

As expected & predicted “before” the start of the last week, Bears stepped in to give fight to Bulls. Please refer to my previous week analysis here

Last week, Dow Jones ended at 17,515.73…  Kind of neutral week, after Bears stepped in to give fight (100% prediction that Bears will give a fight). It was a short week, because of holiday on Friday. Bears could not take full control as Bulls stepped in last Thursday, and Dow Jones went up from a low of 17,399 to 17,515. Although 17,630 was taken out on Monday & Tuesday during intraday of last week, Bulls could not see that the close was above 17,630. So in a nutshell, it was a neutral week. Last week high was 17648.94 & low was 17,399.01

Let’s see what charts are saying for this week

DJ Marc 27th 2016


SHORT TERM (Daily chart) – POSITIVE / UP

MEDIUM TERM (Weekly chart) – NEUTRAL (This week may be critical for next move)

LONG TERM (Monthly chart) – POSITIVE / UP


Big economic report is due on Friday April 1st – which is “Unemployment report”.

BULLISH SCENARIO – If 17,550 is cleared, then expect a ‘decent fight’ from bears at 17,575. If it clears 17,575 then I expect last week highs to be tested which is around 17,650 and bulls may push it further. If 17,780 is cleared and held, I expect big move to upside further squeezing the shorts. Targets 18000 & 18100

Please note since Dow Jones is near all-time highs, false breakout and shakeout is a possibility.

BEARISH SCENARIO – If it struggles to clear 17,550-17,575 then Bears may step in. First major sign of Bears taking control is if 17,390 is taken out and held. 17,300 & 17,200 targets

CONCLUSION – Big economic report is due on Friday. It could trigger talk of “interest rates” and volatility may shoot. Volatility is here to stay for some time. Another curve ball to all this is, Terrorism and China news.

I have learnt through years; it does not matter what the news is – what matters is “Price Action” and how markets react to it. Of course, due respect should be given to major economic news & Fed (and other major central bank news of developed nations) and plan your risks accordingly by yourself or by consulting an expert. Please note, above critical levels – where I mention price has to be cleared & held – relates to Dow Jones end of day prices & not intraday.


Thanks & God Bless !


 UPDATE : Bullish scenario played out & on Friday April 1st, Dow closed at 17,800

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