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GRAINGER stock analysis (100% accuracy)
 

Posted by admin on

August 3, 2015

This article was written in Jan 2015, however was not posted for some genuine reasons which I cannot share

Grainger stock is one of the very few stocks which held up relative well during the crisis of 2008-2009. For the whole of 2014 this stock was in a range of 225 – 265. On Jan 28th 2015, it closed at 231.04. That’s a nice consolidation for the whole year. Recently the company gave quarterly results on Jan 26th & the smart money did not like the results. Let’s see what the charts are saying ( basically shows the path of smart money) : Please note the chart below is as of Aug 2015. At the time I wrote the article I was using chart as of Jan 2015.

 

grainger stock

SHORT TERM Trend – Negative

MEDIUM trend – Neutral /Positive

LONG term trend – Positive

BULLISH SCENARIO – Smart Money may step in right here & see that 229 is not broken. First target is 235 & then 240. However, lot of technical damage happened on Jan 26th. It will be a tremendous battle for this stock to turn again positive in short term. It is all up to smart money. Short term will turn positive only if crosses 254- 255 or so (tough ask – but anything is possible in markets & smart money decides).

BEARISH SCENARIO – In short term if 229 is broken convincingly, then first target is around 225. And if 225 is broken as well, then next target is around 211…and Medium trend will turn negative.

Conclusion – For long term players in this stock, please watch out for the above levels…229 & 225. If 225 is broken convincingly this stock may go down fast and medium trend will turn negative. Long term trend is solidly positive though. If I am invested in this stock, and if Bearish scenario plays out, I will sell some of my stocks.

Thanks & God Bless !

 

STATUS update

How did the analysis perform ????- 100% accuracyOn 8/3/2015 the stock was around 225 & fighting to hold this mark as mentioned in the article above

On Nov 17th 2015 – the stock hit a low of 192.5. Please see my analysis on Bearish scenario & Conclusion above.

 

 

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